tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Las Vegas via New York: arrives on time 77%

  1. 11:08 TPA → 13:59 JFK
    DL 2042 · Delta · 2h 51m · 87% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 01m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 JFK → 19:49 LAS
    DL 806 · Delta · 5h 49m · 82% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 11h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 136 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 01m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip11h 41mTPA 11:08 to LAS 19:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.