tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 56%

  1. 18:21 ROC → 20:35 ATL
    DL 2047 · Delta · 2h 16m · 78% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 ATL → 23:44 DCA
    DL 537 · Delta · 1h 49m · 70% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 23mROC 18:21 to DCA 23:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.