tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 53%

  1. 18:09 DTW → 20:19 ATL
    DL 2053 · Delta · 2h 10m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:15 ATL → 22:17 MDW
    DL 1076 · Delta · 2h 02m · 77% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 08mDTW 18:09 to MDW 22:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.