tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → New York via Minneapolis: arrives on time 67%

  1. 12:50 SNA → 18:30 MSP
    DL 2061 · Delta · 3h 40m · 81% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 29m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:59 MSP → 23:43 LGA
    DL 2733 · Delta · 2h 44m · 77% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 44 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 29m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 53mSNA 12:50 to LGA 23:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.