tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Newark via Minneapolis: arrives on time 63%

  1. 12:50 SNA → 18:30 MSP
    DL 2061 · Delta · 3h 40m · 81% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 MSP → 23:59 EWR
    DL 2846 · Delta · 2h 44m · 73% on time, 5.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (5.1% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 09mSNA 12:50 to EWR 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.