tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Detroit via Minneapolis: arrives on time 51%

  1. 13:48 AUS → 16:36 MSP
    DL 2062 · Delta · 2h 48m · 69% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:36 MSP → 20:22 DTW
    DL 1435 · Delta · 1h 46m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 34mAUS 13:48 to DTW 20:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.