tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Philadelphia via Minneapolis: arrives on time 69%

  1. 12:45 SFO → 18:23 MSP
    DL 2078 · Delta · 3h 38m · 61% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 02m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 MSP → 23:56 PHL
    DL 2703 · Delta · 2h 32m · 77% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 77 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 02m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip8h 12mSFO 12:45 to PHL 23:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.