tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Raleigh/Durham via Minneapolis: arrives on time 70%

  1. 12:45 SFO → 18:23 MSP
    DL 2078 · Delta · 3h 38m · 61% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 02m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 MSP → 23:59 RDU
    DL 2932 · Delta · 2h 34m · 78% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 77 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 02m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip8h 14mSFO 12:45 to RDU 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.