tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Phoenix via Los Angeles: arrives on time 66%

  1. 19:38 MEM → 21:40 LAX
    DL 2082 · Delta · 4h 02m · 78% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:35 LAX → 00:10 PHX +1 day
    DL 3827 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 35m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 32mMEM 19:38 to PHX 00:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.