tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 40%

  1. 00:30 LAX → 06:10 MSP
    DL 2084 · Delta · 3h 40m · 64% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:00 MSP → 08:35 ORD
    DL 1544 · Delta · 1h 35m · 83% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 05mLAX 00:30 to ORD 08:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.