tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Baltimore via Minneapolis: arrives on time 55%

  1. 00:30 LAX → 06:10 MSP
    DL 2084 · Delta · 3h 40m · 64% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:10 MSP → 10:42 BWI
    DL 2357 · Delta · 2h 32m · 93% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip7h 12mLAX 00:30 to BWI 10:42, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.