tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Newark via Minneapolis: arrives on time 53%

  1. 00:30 LAX → 06:10 MSP
    DL 2084 · Delta · 3h 40m · 64% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:10 MSP → 10:49 EWR
    DL 2864 · Delta · 2h 42m · 89% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 22mLAX 00:30 to EWR 10:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.