tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Dulles via Minneapolis: arrives on time 64%

  1. 00:30 LAX → 06:10 MSP
    DL 2084 · Delta · 3h 40m · 64% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:17 MSP → 10:52 IAD
    DL 3699 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 35m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 22mLAX 00:30 to IAD 10:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.