tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Phoenix via Los Angeles: arrives on time 87%

  1. 17:20 MSY → 19:18 LAX
    DL 2096 · Delta · 3h 58m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 17m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:35 LAX → 00:10 PHX +1 day
    DL 3827 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 35m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 152 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 17m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 50mMSY 17:20 to PHX 00:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.