tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Seattle via Los Angeles: arrives on time 62%

  1. 09:17 MSP → 11:10 LAX
    DL 2102 · Delta · 3h 52m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:59 LAX → 14:54 SEA
    DL 1045 · Delta · 2h 55m · 89% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 37mMSP 09:17 to SEA 14:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.