tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → San Francisco via Los Angeles: arrives on time 48%

  1. 09:17 MSP → 11:10 LAX
    DL 2102 · Delta · 3h 52m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:00 LAX → 13:26 SFO
    DL 2725 · Delta · 1h 28m · 69% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 11mMSP 09:17 to SFO 13:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.