tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Phoenix via Los Angeles: arrives on time 85%

  1. 09:17 MSP → 11:10 LAX
    DL 2102 · Delta · 3h 52m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 38m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:48 LAX → 15:21 PHX
    DL 3894 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 35m · 88% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 113 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 38m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip8h 06mMSP 09:17 to PHX 15:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.