tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Orlando via Atlanta: arrives on time 40%

  1. 14:44 AUS → 18:13 ATL
    DL 2104 · Delta · 2h 29m · 79% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:00 ATL → 20:35 MCO
    DL 2881 · Delta · 1h 35m · 62% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip4h 51mAUS 14:44 to MCO 20:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.