tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Cleveland via New York: arrives on time 40%

  1. 16:29 TPA → 19:26 LGA
    DL 2106 · Delta · 3h 00m · 70% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 LGA → 22:35 CLE
    DL 4974 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 01m · 67% on time, 13.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (13.7% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip6h 02mTPA 16:29 to CLE 22:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.