tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → San Francisco via Minneapolis: arrives on time 50%

  1. 19:20 CMH → 20:27 MSP
    DL 2113 · Delta · 2h 07m · 82% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:42 MSP → 23:50 SFO
    DL 2089 · Delta · 4h 07m · 61% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Columbus). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip7h 29mCMH 19:20 to SFO 23:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.