tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Honolulu via Los Angeles: arrives on time 70%

  1. 15:45 MSP → 17:37 LAX
    DL 2114 · Delta · 3h 52m · 87% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:35 LAX → 21:14 HNL
    DL 443 · Delta · 5h 39m · 84% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 10h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 5 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip10h 29mMSP 15:45 to HNL 21:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.