tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Reno via Los Angeles: arrives on time 69%

  1. 18:58 MSP → 20:51 LAX
    DL 2122 · Delta · 3h 57m · 74% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:59 LAX → 23:32 RNO
    DL 3929 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 33m · 89% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Reno is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 34mMSP 18:58 to RNO 23:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.