tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:00 IAD → 07:46 ATL
    DL 2127 · Delta · 1h 46m · 90% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:38 ATL → 10:08 TPA
    DL 1227 · Delta · 1h 31m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip4h 09mIAD 06:00 to TPA 10:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.