tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Santa Ana via Atlanta: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:00 IAD → 07:46 ATL
    DL 2127 · Delta · 1h 46m · 90% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 14m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 ATL → 12:40 SNA
    DL 329 · Delta · 4h 40m · 75% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 149 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 14m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip9h 40mIAD 06:00 to SNA 12:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.