tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → San Jose via Minneapolis: arrives on time 45%

  1. 14:40 MIA → 17:40 MSP
    DL 2129 · Delta · 4h 00m · 78% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 MSP → 20:35 SJC
    DL 2087 · Delta · 4h 07m · 68% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip8h 57mMIA 14:40 to SJC 20:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.