tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Dulles via Minneapolis: arrives on time 72%

  1. 14:40 MIA → 17:40 MSP
    DL 2129 · Delta · 4h 00m · 78% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 MSP → 23:25 IAD
    DL 4129 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 30m · 78% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip8h 45mMIA 14:40 to IAD 23:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.