tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Raleigh/Durham via Atlanta: arrives on time 47%

  1. 16:08 PHL → 18:25 ATL
    DL 2131 · Delta · 2h 15m · 70% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:18 ATL → 20:47 RDU
    DL 1518 · Delta · 1h 29m · 74% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 39mPHL 16:08 to RDU 20:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.