tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Asheville via Atlanta: arrives on time 59%

  1. 16:08 PHL → 18:25 ATL
    DL 2131 · Delta · 2h 15m · 70% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:37 ATL → 20:41 AVL
    DL 3071 · Delta · 1h 04m · 80% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 33mPHL 16:08 to AVL 20:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.