tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 64%

  1. 16:08 PHL → 18:25 ATL
    DL 2131 · Delta · 2h 15m · 70% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 30m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 ATL → 23:44 DCA
    DL 537 · Delta · 1h 49m · 70% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 165 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 30m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 36mPHL 16:08 to DCA 23:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.