tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Dulles via New York: arrives on time 82%

  1. 22:35 PDX → 06:55 JFK
    DL 2139 · Delta · 5h 20m · 92% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 21m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:16 JFK → 11:48 IAD +1 day
    DL 5835 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 32m · 87% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 10h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 156 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 21m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip10h 13mPDX 22:35 to IAD 11:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.