tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbia → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 38%

  1. 18:01 CAE → 19:13 ATL
    DL 2153 · Delta · 1h 12m · 61% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 ATL → 22:29 EWR
    DL 2527 · Delta · 2h 19m · 65% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip4h 28mCAE 18:01 to EWR 22:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.