tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Los Angeles via San Diego: arrives on time 41%

  1. 12:30 DTW → 14:12 SAN
    DL 2155 · Delta · 4h 42m · 76% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:00 SAN → 16:04 LAX
    DL 4002 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 04m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 34mDTW 12:30 to LAX 16:04, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.