tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → New York via Minneapolis: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:20 SJC → 12:02 MSP
    DL 2156 · Delta · 3h 42m · 94% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:00 MSP → 16:45 LGA
    DL 2756 · Delta · 2h 45m · 77% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 25mSJC 06:20 to LGA 16:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.