tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Dulles via Minneapolis: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:20 SJC → 12:02 MSP
    DL 2156 · Delta · 3h 42m · 94% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 28m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:30 MSP → 18:04 IAD
    DL 3783 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 34m · 80% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 103 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 28m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 44mSJC 06:20 to IAD 18:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.