tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 57%

  1. 14:20 CLT → 15:39 ATL
    DL 2157 · Delta · 1h 19m · 80% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:25 ATL → 17:49 SDF
    DL 1126 · Delta · 1h 24m · 79% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 3h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip3h 29mCLT 14:20 to SDF 17:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.