tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Phoenix via Atlanta: arrives on time 68%

  1. 14:20 CLT → 15:39 ATL
    DL 2157 · Delta · 1h 19m · 80% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 ATL → 18:53 PHX
    DL 836 · Delta · 3h 59m · 73% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip7h 38mCLT 14:20 to PHX 18:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.