tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Spokane via Minneapolis: arrives on time 55%

  1. 15:26 SFO → 21:04 MSP
    DL 2159 · Delta · 3h 38m · 76% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:59 MSP → 23:06 GEG
    DL 2418 · Delta · 3h 08m · 76% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 41mSFO 15:26 to GEG 23:06, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.