tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Bozeman via Minneapolis: arrives on time 61%

  1. 15:26 SFO → 21:04 MSP
    DL 2159 · Delta · 3h 38m · 76% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:23 MSP → 23:52 BZN
    DL 2954 · Delta · 2h 35m · 73% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 1 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip7h 32mSFO 15:26 to BZN 23:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.