tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Phoenix via Detroit: arrives on time 63%

  1. 12:36 RDU → 14:24 DTW
    DL 2164 · Delta · 1h 48m · 86% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 26m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:50 DTW → 18:00 PHX
    DL 1135 · Delta · 4h 06m · 67% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 7 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 26m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip8h 20mRDU 12:36 to PHX 18:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.