tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Reno via Portland: arrives on time 86%

  1. 11:00 MSP → 12:40 PDX
    DL 2167 · Delta · 3h 40m · 88% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 21m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:01 PDX → 16:30 RNO
    AS 2206 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 29m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Reno is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 51 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 21m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 30mMSP 11:00 to RNO 16:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.