tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Key West → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 64%

  1. 18:18 EYW → 20:32 ATL
    DL 2168 · Delta · 2h 14m · 82% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 08m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 ATL → 00:57 EWR +1 day
    DL 2552 · Delta · 2h 18m · 70% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 83 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 08m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 40mEYW 18:18 to EWR 00:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.