tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Key West → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 59%

  1. 18:18 EYW → 20:32 ATL
    DL 2168 · Delta · 2h 14m · 82% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 23m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 ATL → 23:44 DCA
    DL 537 · Delta · 1h 49m · 70% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 23m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 26mEYW 18:18 to DCA 23:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.