tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Phoenix via Los Angeles: arrives on time 65%

  1. 19:50 DEN → 21:28 LAX
    DL 2176 · Delta · 2h 38m · 67% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:35 LAX → 00:10 PHX +1 day
    DL 3827 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 35m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h behind Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip5h 20mDEN 19:50 to PHX 00:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.