tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Tampa via Minneapolis: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:00 SFO → 11:35 MSP
    DL 2178 · Delta · 3h 35m · 94% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 44m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:19 MSP → 17:32 TPA
    DL 2264 · Delta · 3h 13m · 82% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 59 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 44m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 32mSFO 06:00 to TPA 17:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.