tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → New Orleans via Minneapolis: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:00 SFO → 11:35 MSP
    DL 2178 · Delta · 3h 35m · 94% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:45 MSP → 15:25 MSY
    DL 2695 · Delta · 2h 40m · 85% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 25mSFO 06:00 to MSY 15:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.