tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Nashville via Minneapolis: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:00 SFO → 11:35 MSP
    DL 2178 · Delta · 3h 35m · 94% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:55 MSP → 15:00 BNA
    DL 2843 · Delta · 2h 05m · 89% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 00mSFO 06:00 to BNA 15:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.