tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Denver via Minneapolis: arrives on time 58%

  1. 08:00 SNA → 13:41 MSP
    DL 2185 · Delta · 3h 40m · 85% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:27 MSP → 15:38 DEN
    DL 1025 · Delta · 2h 11m · 80% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 38mSNA 08:00 to DEN 15:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.