tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Detroit via Minneapolis: arrives on time 74%

  1. 08:00 SNA → 13:41 MSP
    DL 2185 · Delta · 3h 40m · 85% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 34m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:15 MSP → 18:59 DTW
    DL 1476 · Delta · 1h 45m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 109 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 34m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 00mSNA 08:00 to DTW 18:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.