tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → New York via Minneapolis: arrives on time 66%

  1. 08:00 SNA → 13:41 MSP
    DL 2185 · Delta · 3h 40m · 85% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 49m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:30 MSP → 19:18 LGA
    DL 2732 · Delta · 2h 47m · 74% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 64 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 49m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip8h 17mSNA 08:00 to LGA 19:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.