tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 45%

  1. 12:25 DTW → 14:23 ATL
    DL 2188 · Delta · 1h 58m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:15 ATL → 16:15 MDW
    DL 1728 · Delta · 2h 00m · 77% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 50mDTW 12:25 to MDW 16:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.